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Assin North by-election: NPP’s Charles Opoku will win by a 4-point margin, says Ephson

Speaking to Benjamin Offei-Addo on the Asaase Breakfast Show on Tuesday (27 June), Ephson said: “I think that Charles Opoku will win by 3-4% margin of victory”

The pollster Ben Ephson is predicting that the New Patriotic Party’s Charles Opoku will win today’s by-election in Assin North by a 3 to 4-percentage-point margin.

On 17 May the Supreme Court declared that the election and swearing-in of the MP for Assin North, James Gyakye Quayson, who sat in Parliament on the ticket of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), was unconstitutional, null and void.

Roughly 41,170 constituents are expected to vote at 99 polling stations in Assin North, in what is being seen as a critical by-election that will determine who controls Ghana’s legislature.

Main contenders

Today’s election is a straight race between the governing NPP’s Opoku and the opposition NDC’s James Gyakye Quayson, who was ousted as the MP for the area by the Supreme Court.

The court found errors in Quayson’s candidature in the 2020 election due to his status as dual citizen at the time.

Speaking to Benjamin Offei-Addo on the Asaase Breakfast Show on Tuesday (27 June), Ephson said: “I think that Charles Opoku will win by 3-4% margin of victory.

“We saw a big drop in the sympathy vote of James Gyakye Quayson when it emerged from the NDC camp that Quayson had been disqualified in 2012 and 2016 because of non-renunciation and that statement has not been denied by anybody in the NDC,” Ephson said.

Listen to Ben Ephson in the audio clip attached below:

Security

Meanwhile, the Inspector General of Police, George Akuffo Dampare, says adequate measures have been put in place to ensure a violence-free election.

The IGP gave the assurance after meeting with key stakeholders in the election including the New Patriotic Party (NPP), National Democratic Congress (NDC), Liberal Party of Ghana (LPG) and Electoral Commission.

Civic duty

A statement issued by the police on Monday (26 June) urged the people of Assin North to go about their normal activities freely and to exercise their civic duty of voting.

“As we go into the Assin North by-election tomorrow, 27 June 2023, the Police Service wishes to assure the people of Assin North in particular and Ghanaians in general that adequate security measures have been put in place within the constituency in order to ensure security, law and order before, during and after the election.

“In addition, at the instance of the Inspector-General of Police, the Police Management Board (POMAB) held a meeting this morning with key stakeholders in the election including the New Patriotic Party (NPP), the National Democratic Congress (NDC), the Liberal Party of Ghana (LPG) and the Electoral Commission to enhance the working relationship among all stakeholders towards a peaceful election,” the police statement said.

 

Reporting by Fred Dzakpata in Accra

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